# Why Central Banks Are Watching the Neutral Rate Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013/why-central-banks-are-watching-the-neutral-rate Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013/why-central-banks-are-watching-the-neutral-rate.md Podcast: [Monetary Policy Explained with Fexingo: Central Banks, Money Supply, and Interest Rates](https://stenobird.com/podcast/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013) Published: 2026-06-24T19:42:11+00:00 Episode link: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/monetary-policy-explained/episode-0071.mp3 Audio file: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/monetary-policy-explained/episode-0071.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013/episodes/why-central-banks-are-watching-the-neutral-rate Duration seconds: 571 ## Resource Episode 71 dives into R-star — the neutral rate of interest that central banks can't see but constantly chase. Lucas and Luna unpack why the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of Japan are obsessing over this unobservable number in mid-2026, how it shapes rate decisions without ever being announced, and why recent estimates have drifted higher. They walk through the Laubach-Williams model, John Williams' role, and the practical problem: if you don't know where neutral is, every rate decision is a guess. Specific, grounded, no fluff. #NeutralRate #RStar #CentralBanking #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #LaubachWilliams #JohnWilliams #Economics #Macro #FOMC #ECB #BankOfJapan #RealRates #PolicyUncertainty #FexingoEconomics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013/episodes/why-central-banks-are-watching-the-neutral-rate/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/monetary-policy-explained-with-fexingo-central-banks-money-supply-and-interest-rates-7872013/why-central-banks-are-watching-the-neutral-rate.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.