# Ep. 376: Rory Johnston on $100 Oil, the Refined Product Crisis, and China's Swing Power Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-china-s-swing-power Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-china-s-swing-power.md Podcast: [Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez](https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900) Published: 2026-09-18T07:00:00+00:00 Episode link: https://macrohive.libsyn.com/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-chinas-swing-power Audio file: https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/macrohive/MH_w_JOHNSTON3.mp3?dest-id=1929056 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-china-s-swing-power Duration seconds: 3440 ## Resource Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. In this podcast, we discuss: $100 Brent and Historic Backwardation The Global Refined Product Crisis Hormuz "Shuttle Trade" and War Insurance Costs The Red Sea Chokepoint and Houthi Threat Russian Refinery Attacks and Fuel Export Bans China's Import Cuts and Hidden SPR Release China's Potential Winter Refining Bailout US Midterm Dilemmas and Export Ban Risks India's LPG Crisis and Offshore SPR Deals US Equity in Venezuela and Heavy Crude Spreads Canada's Westward Pipeline Push ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-china-s-swing-power/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-376-rory-johnston-on-100-oil-the-refined-product-crisis-and-china-s-swing-power.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.