# Ep. 374: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on the K-Shaped US Economy, AI Supply Shocks, and Fed Hikes Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes.md Podcast: [Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez](https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900) Published: 2026-09-04T07:00:00+00:00 Episode link: https://macrohive.libsyn.com/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes Audio file: https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/macrohive/MH_w_DOMINIQUE_.mp3?dest-id=1929056 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes Duration seconds: 2038 ## Resource Dominique Dwor- Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds , including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in Economics from the London School of Economics. In this podcast, we discuss: The "Low-Hire, Low-Fire" Labour Puzzle The Imported AI Capex Illusion Chips as the New Oil Supply Shock The K-Shaped Consumer & GFC-Level Delinquency The Fragile Savings Rate Cushion The Return of FOMC Dissension The Waller Swing Vote & the 2026 Rate Path The 2027 AI De-escalation Surprise ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-374-dominique-dwor-frecaut-on-the-k-shaped-us-economy-ai-supply-shocks-and-fed-hikes.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.