# Ep. 340: Robert Koenigsberger on EM Cycles, China's Turnaround, and the New Era of Private Credit Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-china-s-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-china-s-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit.md Podcast: [Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez](https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900) Published: 2026-01-07T11:34:00+00:00 Episode link: https://macrohive.libsyn.com/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-chinas-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit Audio file: https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/macrohive/MH_w_ROBERT.mp3?dest-id=1929056 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-china-s-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit Duration seconds: 2066 ## Resource Robert is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy's Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss: EM in 2025: From Caution to FOMO EM vs DM: A Role Reversal Since COVID The Problem with EM Labels & Indices China: From 'Uninvestable' to Selective Opportunity Russia–Ukraine: Asymmetry, Reconstruction, and Market Blind Spots The Boom in EM Private Credit Where the Opportunities Are in EM Private Credit Mexico, NAFTA 2.0, and Geopolitics Venezuela and the 'Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine' Fed Policy: The Only Conviction Is Lack of Conviction Portfolio Philosophy: Fighting FOMO and Overtrading ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/episodes/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-china-s-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/macro-hive-conversations-with-bilal-hafeez-524900/ep-340-robert-koenigsberger-on-em-cycles-china-s-turnaround-and-the-new-era-of-private-credit.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.