# [Linkpost] "Doom as a bad method not a utopia trade-off" by KatjaGrace Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace.md Podcast: [LessWrong (Curated & Popular)](https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401) Published: 2026-09-12T19:45:21+00:00 Episode link: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2037297/episodes/19794661-linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace.mp3 Audio file: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2037297/episodes/19794661-linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/episodes/linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace Duration seconds: 195 ## Resource This is a link post. Advanced AI is generally expected to have some very high variance outcomes—it might herald everything good, it might destroy humanity. For instance, here are 800 random AI researchers’ expectations about how good the future is, lined up: From my 2023 survey As you can see, most AI researchers put a serious chunk of probability on very different overall outcomes: maybe doom, maybe utopia. This is common. Most people I know who think there is a serious chance of the des... ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/episodes/linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/linkpost-doom-as-a-bad-method-not-a-utopia-trade-off-by-katjagrace.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.