# A Bold Prediction About Prediction Markets

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/firewall-with-bradley-tusk-7228/a-bold-prediction-about-prediction-markets
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/firewall-with-bradley-tusk-7228/a-bold-prediction-about-prediction-markets.md
Podcast: [Firewall with Bradley Tusk](https://stenobird.com/podcast/firewall-with-bradley-tusk-7228)
Published: 2026-02-12T09:00:00+00:00
Episode link: http://firewall.media
Audio file: https://episodes.captivate.fm/episode/07793127-83aa-4e26-8b7a-f0c8f1b2baac.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/firewall-with-bradley-tusk-7228/episodes/a-bold-prediction-about-prediction-markets
Duration seconds: 2563

## Resource

Why are the biggest names in venture betting big on prediction markets? Aaron Miller, principal at Will Ventures, joins Bradley to talk about the evolution of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket into a new kind of financial exchange and societal "source of truth." They dig into the states-versus-federal regulatory battle, the surge in American gambling behavior, and then turn to the messy restructuring of college sports. Do our old ideas about it make sense anymore? This episode was taped at P&T Knitwear at 180 Orchard Street — New York City’s only free podcast recording studio. Send us an email with your thoughts on today’s episode: info@firewall.media . Be sure to watch Bradley’s TED Talk on Mobile Voting at https://go.ted.com/bradleytusk . Subscribe to Bradley's weekly newsletter and follow Bradley on Linkedin + Substack + YouTube .

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## Transcript

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