# The Signal Before the Spike | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Tell Us About What Comes Next

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/excess-returns-902655/the-signal-before-the-spike-katie-stockton-on-what-the-charts-tell-us-about-what-comes-next
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/excess-returns-902655/the-signal-before-the-spike-katie-stockton-on-what-the-charts-tell-us-about-what-comes-next.md
Podcast: [Excess Returns](https://stenobird.com/podcast/excess-returns-902655)
Published: 2026-04-03T13:26:30+00:00
Episode link: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/excess-returns/episodes/The-Signal-Before-the-Spike--Katie-Stockton-on-What-the-Charts-Tell-Us-About-What-Comes-Next-e3hcjgb
Audio file: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/APO9216867202.mp3
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Duration seconds: 2914

## Resource

This episode explores the growing signs of a shift beneath the surface of the market, as technical indicators point to weakening momentum in equities and a potential change in leadership. Katie Stockton joins the show to break down what recent signals in the S&P 500, oil, gold, and sector rotation are telling us about where markets may be headed next. We cover the implications of a new monthly MACD sell signal, the importance of market breadth and leadership, and how investors can interpret shifting trends across asset classes using a disciplined technical framework. More on Katie's Strategies https://www.fairleadstrategies.com/ Topics Covered: Why a new monthly MACD sell signal may signal a longer, choppier market phase The difference between fast corrections and slow grind bear phases Key S&P 500 support levels and what a breakdown could mean for downside risk How technical indicators help filter noise in headline-driven markets The breakout in crude oil and what it signals about a potential new cycle Whether sharp price moves are sustainable or likely to reverse Understanding overbought and oversold conditions across different timeframes Why mega-cap weakness is critical to overall market direction The shift from growth to value and what it means for investors Sector rotation trends and where leadership is emerging in 2025 What gold’s recent run and emerging weakness signal for safe haven assets How a systematic, technical approach can help manage drawdowns and re-entry timing Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 04:18 S&P 500 momentum deterioration and MACD sell signal 08:09 Key support levels and downside scenarios for equities 12:53 Crude oil breakout and implications for a new cycle 16:01 What overbought and oversold really mean in practice 20:04 Mega-cap weaknes…

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