# Why are cybersecurity predictions so bad? - ESW #440

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/enterprise-security-weekly-video-787162/why-are-cybersecurity-predictions-so-bad-esw-440
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/enterprise-security-weekly-video-787162/why-are-cybersecurity-predictions-so-bad-esw-440.md
Podcast: [Enterprise Security Weekly (Video)](https://stenobird.com/podcast/enterprise-security-weekly-video-787162)
Published: 2026-01-05T10:00:00+00:00
Episode link: https://eswvideo.libsyn.com/why-are-cybersecurity-predictions-so-bad-esw-440
Audio file: https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/traffic.libsyn.com/secure/eswvideo/ESW_440_1--26bf017f-734d-4cc9-9901-a971f0dd1ca7--sd-converted--2dd32836-eba7-456a-ae59-f5406c3782c8.mp4?dest-id=376667
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/enterprise-security-weekly-video-787162/episodes/why-are-cybersecurity-predictions-so-bad-esw-440
Duration seconds: 5381

## Resource

For our first episode of the new year, we thought it would be appropriate to dig into some cybersecurity predictions. First, we cover the very nature of predictions and why they're often so bad. To understand this, we get into logical fallacies and cognitive biases. In the next segment, we cover some 2025 predictions we found on the Internet. In the final segment, we discuss 2026, drop some of our own predictions, and talk about what we hope to see this year. SPOILER: Please fix session hijacking, okay tech industry? Segment resources: A great site for better understanding logical fallacies and cognitive biases Show Notes: https://securityweekly.com/esw-440

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## Transcript

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