# Bringing the House down: our American midterms model

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/economist-podcasts-921330/bringing-the-house-down-our-american-midterms-model
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/economist-podcasts-921330/bringing-the-house-down-our-american-midterms-model.md
Podcast: [Economist Podcasts](https://stenobird.com/podcast/economist-podcasts-921330)
Published: 2026-04-23T10:08:02+00:00
Episode link: https://shows.acast.com/theintelligencepodcast/episodes/bringing-the-house-down-our-american-midterms-model
Audio file: https://sphinx.acast.com/p/open/s/d556eb54-6160-4c85-95f4-47d9f5216c49/a/theeconomistallaudio/e/69e9ef82c8a506316d070d1b/media.mp3?tk=eyJ0ayI6ImRlZmF1bHQiLCJhZHMiOnRydWUsInNwb25zIjp0cnVlLCJzdGF0dXMiOiJwdWJsaWMifQ==&sig=sAWYkSbVO3cBQTbNdjVCPGqBfU2nzVJE3sTGDlepdkU
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Duration seconds: 1563

## Resource

We examine what our forecast model predicts so far —and consider what might change its confident prediction for one house of Congress and toss-up call for the other. Our correspondent sits down with Steve Reich, a pioneering classical composer who is nearing his 90th birthday. And the surprising reason why firstborns tend to have more-successful lives. Additional music courtesy of Steve Reich (Nonesuch Records), Erik Hall (Western Vinyl) Guests and host: Dan Rosenheck, data editor Jon Fasman, senior culture correspondent Ainslie Johnstone, data journalist Jason Palmer, co-host of “The Intelligence” Topics covered:  American elections, Congress, polling, gerrymandering Steve Reich, contemporary classical music birth order, statistics Get a world of insights by subscribing to Economist Podcasts+ . For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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## Transcript

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