# From Bogeys to Blown Fuses: Navigating Self-Doubt [E239]

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/diagnosing-the-aftermarket-a-to-z-4411651/from-bogeys-to-blown-fuses-navigating-self-doubt-e239
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/diagnosing-the-aftermarket-a-to-z-4411651/from-bogeys-to-blown-fuses-navigating-self-doubt-e239.md
Podcast: [Diagnosing the Aftermarket A to Z](https://stenobird.com/podcast/diagnosing-the-aftermarket-a-to-z-4411651)
Published: 2026-06-03T04:15:00+00:00
Episode link: https://automotiverepairpodcastnetwork.com/from-bogeys-to-blown-fuses-navigating-self-doubt-e239
Audio file: https://episodes.captivate.fm/episode/46f2d3bf-9f8b-48ae-89d2-612a9a210bd4.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/diagnosing-the-aftermarket-a-to-z-4411651/episodes/from-bogeys-to-blown-fuses-navigating-self-doubt-e239
Duration seconds: 1589

## Resource

Thanks to our Partners, Pico Technology, and Autel Watch Full Video Episode In this episode, Matt starts on the golf course and ends up right back in the service bay, because apparently, even a decent round of golf can turn into a cognitive psychology lesson. After shooting a personally strong nine-hole score, Matt catches himself doing what many technical and mechanical specialists do every day: ignoring the accomplishment and obsessing over the shots, tests, tools, or decisions that could have been better. That leads into a discussion of discounting the positive, upward counterfactual thinking, hindsight bias, expert bias, and the curse of knowledge. The point is not to stop improving. The point is to stop rewriting reality after the fact. A two-hour intermittent short diagnosis may feel “obvious” once the problem is found, but it was not obvious when the vehicle came in. The same applies to repairs, removals, procedures, and every job where experience only becomes obvious after you earn it. Matt also closes with some listener-driven Mount Rushmore talk, including an all-time basketball starting five featuring Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, LeBron James, and Hakeem Olajuwon. Key Topics Why a good result can still feel disappointing when you focus only on what could have gone better The difference between honest reflection and beating yourself into the ground Discounting the positive and how it shows up in diagnostics Upward counterfactual thinking: “If only I had done this sooner…” Hindsight bias in the shop after the failure is already found Why “that was obvious” is usually only true after the fact How technical specialists can learn from a job without erasing the accomplishment The danger of judging another specialist’s time after you already know the…

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## Transcript

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