# This Is What Happens if Russia Invades the Baltics - And America Refuses to Help

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/decoding-geopolitics-podcast-with-dominik-presl-6862131/this-is-what-happens-if-russia-invades-the-baltics-and-america-refuses-to-help
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/decoding-geopolitics-podcast-with-dominik-presl-6862131/this-is-what-happens-if-russia-invades-the-baltics-and-america-refuses-to-help.md
Podcast: [Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl](https://stenobird.com/podcast/decoding-geopolitics-podcast-with-dominik-presl-6862131)
Published: 2026-07-25T07:00:00+00:00
Episode link: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/dominik-presl/episodes/This-Is-What-Happens-if-Russia-Invades-the-Baltics---And-America-Refuses-to-Help-e3l6i64
Audio file: https://traffic.megaphone.fm/APO7960341434.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/decoding-geopolitics-podcast-with-dominik-presl-6862131/episodes/this-is-what-happens-if-russia-invades-the-baltics-and-america-refuses-to-help
Duration seconds: 1946

## Resource

➡️ Watch the full interview ad-free, join a community of geopolitics enthusiasts and gain access to exclusive content on PATREON: https://dub.sh/Patreon-Ruben-Stewart ➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/ This is a conversation with Ruben Stewart, Senior Fellow for Land Warfare at the IISS, about a a single question: what would happen if Europe had to fight Russia tonight, as it is, entirely without the United States. It’s a question that is both an increasingly likely possibility given the continuous withdrawal of the United States from Europe - but that also almost no one has really seriously modelled so far. And so we get into how deep Europe's hidden dependence on America actually runs, how much it would constrain Europe if it had to fight alone and what would that actually look like - from the satellites and intelligence that would leave it half-blind, to the fact that NATO’s leadership is by definition mostly made up of American officers. Into why Europe would be forced into a completely different way of fighting than what most European commanders and officials envision or whether it could overcome its own political disunity fast enough to actually put up a fight.

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## Transcript

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