# What a commodity supercycle would mean for Australia - Greg Cassidy | Milford

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Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/basis-points-7236245/what-a-commodity-supercycle-would-mean-for-australia-greg-cassidy-milford.md
Podcast: [Basis Points](https://stenobird.com/podcast/basis-points-7236245)
Published: 2026-02-17T18:01:00+00:00
Episode link: https://shows.acast.com/basis-points/episodes/what-a-commodity-supercycle-would-mean-for-australia
Audio file: https://sphinx.acast.com/p/open/s/67bbf55519249d0c1a4bb224/e/699458a8989966fe08ec1f96/media.mp3
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Duration seconds: 2222

## Resource

Commodity markets are back in focus. Gold has more than doubled in recent years. Lithium has flipped from surplus to deficit and iron ore continues to quietly underpin the Australian economy. So, is this the start of something bigger, like a commodity super-cycle? In this episode, we’re joined by Greg Cassidy, Senior Analyst at Milford, to unpack the forces driving the global resource rally and what it means for adviser portfolios. We cover: The three macro forces behind the surge: deglobalisation, decarbonisation and AI. The outlook for LNG. Why iron ore still matters most for Australia’s budget and equity index. Greg’s key takeaway for advisers: why “you should own resources” and how to think about active vs passive exposure in a volatile sector. Chapters : 00:00:00 Introduction 00:04:10 Three Drivers Of The Rally 00:09:05 Supply Constraints And M&A Activity 00:11:04 Australia In The US China Split 00:14:13 Gold And Real Assets 00:16:18 Commodities To Watch Now 00:18:23 Copper’s Structural Deficit 00:20:10 Lithium Volatility Explained 00:22:32 LNG Supply And Demand 00:25:34 Australia’s Key Export Exposures 00:29:56 Portfolio Positioning For Advisers 00:33:43 Avoiding Resource Investing Mistakes ——— CPD Points: This episode is accredited for the following CPD points by the Financial Advice Association of Australia (FAAA). Complete the quiz here to claim your points. 0.05 Total Hours Knowledge Requirements: Managed Investments (0.50 hour) Legislated CPD Area: Technical Competence (0.50 hour) ——— Before you invest, be sure to read the Milford Funds Product Disclosure Statements and Target Market Determinations at  https://milfordasset.com.au/documents-and-forms/   You can read the full disclaimer at  https:/milfordasset.com.au ——— Want more Basis Poin…

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